Decision-Making to Avoid Mistakes: Misconception

Making mistakes may cost you more than your gain. Decision-Making to avoid mistakes is often overlooked.
Making mistake
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Imagine this situation. You have a $1,000 investment and if this year you gain 50%, your money will be $1,500 – that is $1,000 plus (50%$1,000 = $500). The next year, the economy was bleak and affected your investment, so it lost 50%. Your money is $750, which is derived from $1,500 less (50%$1,500=$750). What is the message from this case? Your brilliance could be wiped out easily by mistakes. Decision-making to avoid mistakes should be a priority.

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Example of The Decision-Making Fallacy: From OS to Football

Some example of the decision making fallacy teach you that ineffective decision bring you unwanted outcome
Decision-making is vital in every aspect of life
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This example of the decision-making fallacy gives us a simple conclusion: do not let your former glory ruin your future. Everything will change eventually, we need to adapt.

  1. After the acquisition of Nokia, Microsoft keeps the Windows (Phone version) as its mobile devices OS. This strategy ends miserably with a $7 billion loss.
  2. Lionel Messi – maybe the greatest player of all time – relies on his dribbling skill. As the player ages, the sharpness of his play deteriorates significantly.
  3. Cristiano Ronaldo – Messi’s greatest rival – begins his career as a dribbler, with many tricks, flips flop. But as he ages, he changes his play style. CR7 becomes more passive, waits in the penalty box, and becomes one of the deadliest poachers. He does not dribble much. He becomes much more efficient. His physical peak has been long surpassed, but he keeps delivering prestigious titles for the club and national team.

What do we learn about decision-making here? Let’s elaborate.

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Fundamental Analysis of Berkshire Hathaway: Misconception


Key points of Fundamental Analysis of Berkshire Hathaway(BRK):

  1. Officially, Berkshire Hathaway is transportation, energy, and an insurance company.
  2. Due to its area coverage and economies of scale, Berkshire’s transportation business enjoys a cost advantage over its competitors.
  3. Berkshire’s insurance enjoys a switching cost advantage.
  4. Berkshire’s business is durable, and reliable in the long run, but it is slow. What makes Berkshire’s price rise is probably due to its stock investment and buyback.

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Basic Investing Strategy: How to Win The Game


A basic investing strategy is about durability.
Investing is about keep walking, not sprinting, and quit
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Too Long Didn’t Read: for Basic Investing Strategy:

  1. In the long run, earnings and cash flow matter most.
  2. An economic moat – or technically, competitive advantage, is a factor that could preserve (or even grow) earnings and cash flow.
  3. Time plays an important role, a high number of ROIC is useless if it can’t last in the long run. Time becomes the test for ROIC.
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Understanding of The Stock Market: Misconception


Understanding of the Stock Market begins with set the misconception right.
Fix the investing misconception

How long have you been in the game? 5 years? In the last 3 years, how much have you advanced? This is not only your question but also ours. How long have you been with us? 2 years? How much do you get better by coming to us? Here we’re now making a recap of our article. To remind you what is important, to give you a checkpoint, and to know how our progress in the understanding of the stock market.

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Marry Buffett’s Book: Part One. Gross profit Margin.


Marry Buffett's Book says that companies with a high Gross Profit Margin mean has a durable competitive advantage. But in our opinion, it doesn't mean that company with a low GPM always has no durable competitive advantage.
Is there no place for Company with a low GPM number?
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The complete title of Marry Buffett’s book is Warren Buffett and the Interpretation of Financial Statements: The Search for the Company with a Durable Competitive Advantage. The title contains our favorite subject: Competitive Advantage, one of the most important but rarest topics in investing.

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Investing Rule Misunderstandings: Birdless Bush

One most used term for trader’s defense
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So far, we have tried to fix some investing rule misunderstandings. We have redefined and explained many investing terms like intrinsic value, the margin of safety, growth versus value, and others. Today we try to target one of the most used quotes in the stock market: “One bird in the hand is better than two birds in the bush”.

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