Intel Stock Valuation: Calculated Speculation


The key point of Intel stock valuation:

  1. Intel’s market cap is 148 Billion (end of July 2022) with 19.8 Billion earnings in 2021. It means that you need 7 years to break even. Too long for a company with no growth prospect like Intel.
  2. Even when the CHIP program is passed and executed, it will not boost Intel’s earnings significantly.
  3. It is not difficult to say that we don’t recommend investing in Intel. But it doesn’t mean that the stock price will not rise in the future.
  4. Like the management says, maybe this is the bottom. But we don’t know how long Intel will be in this pit. But smart investors still could exploit this situation.
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Business Analysis of Intel: Preparation for Valuation


Key points of Business Analysis of Intel:

  1. We believe Intel will get benefit from a government program that plans to fund 50 billion for the chips industry.
  2. In the normal old days, the vertically integrated that become Intel’s business model could serve as a decent competitive advantage. In modern days when the chips get smaller and much smaller, that competitive edge fades too.
  3. The chip monopoly with AMD should be a good thing, but this is technology. It needs to be stronger, faster, and better every year. AMD and Intel do not compete with each other. People and media bring them into the ring.
  4. Even if Intel could beat AMD, the ARM architecture poses a threat to x86 which Intel excels in.
  5. Intel looks cheap in the short term. It has strong connections with laptop vendors, government, and technology. But in the long run, the fierce competition – internal with AMD along with external threats like Qualcomm in the form of ARM – is waiting.

Let elaborate.

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Is Nvidia a Bargain Stock to Buy? Reality Checklist


Nvidia stock falls from 300 level in November 2021 to half of its value at approximately 150 level in June 2022. Is this a rare opportunity or an alarming bell for the chip industry? We try to analyze its revenue, business model, and issue regarding the chip industry. In the end, we hope the investor could answer: Is Nvidia a bargain stock to buy?

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Intangible Asset Analysis: Misunderstanding Moat

Based on our Intangible Asset Analysis, a well-known brand isn't equal with an economic moat or durable business advantages
Image by Pashminu Mansukhani from Pixabay
KFC, McDonald’s, Burger King and other fast-food restaurant has their own burger. And it doesn’t make a significant difference.

A good product doesn’t always come with durable economic advantages. Sony makes high-quality DVDs, but you can replace them with Verbatim without much issue. Investingdeck.com tries to resolve one of the misunderstandings about the economic moat. Welcome to our intangible asset analysis.

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Competitive Advantage in The Computer Industry

source: freepik

Computer – whatever its form, PC or laptop – has become an irreplaceable part of our working environment. Even for our life. In this competitive advantage in the computer industry, we try to identify the strength of competitive advantage for each node. From computer manufacturers like Dell, Lenovo, MSI, Asus, HP to upstream like chip manufacturer TSMC. By understanding the connection between these “points” along with its internal competition, we hope investors could have better insight to choose the potential company to invest in.

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