Why is decision-making important? Because sometimes it involves money. A lot of.
Decision-making is essential when it involves money. In 2010, Nokia stubbornly decided to use Symbian while all developers join iOS and Android. In 2017, Microsoft adopted a similar approach to challenge the duopoly. The Redmond-based company embedded Windows Phone in its Lumia lineup instead of Android. As you’ve already known, this decision lead to billion of losses.
Microsoft knows that the lack of developer support is the reason why Nokia – Symbian failed. Why did the tech giant still take that approach? It is interesting that under specific situations, people tend to take completely known wrong decisions. And it is not only about corporations. It could also happen at the individual level.
This example of the decision-making fallacy gives us a simple conclusion: do not let your former glory ruin your future. Everything will change eventually, we need to adapt.
After the acquisition of Nokia, Microsoft keeps the Windows (Phone version) as its mobile devices OS. This strategy ends miserably with a $7 billion loss.
Lionel Messi – maybe the greatest player of all time – relies on his dribbling skill. As the player ages, the sharpness of his play deteriorates significantly.
Cristiano Ronaldo – Messi’s greatest rival – begins his career as a dribbler, with many tricks, flips flop. But as he ages, he changes his play style. CR7 becomes more passive, waits in the penalty box, and becomes one of the deadliest poachers. He does not dribble much. He becomes much more efficient. His physical peak has been long surpassed, but he keeps delivering prestigious titles for the club and national team.
What do we learn about decision-making here? Let’s elaborate.
From the customer perspective, Disney is representative of a perfect User Experience. It tells a magical story in movies, then actualizes it in the real world through the Theme Park. Our competitive analysis UX (User Experience) tries to identify another company with a similar edge.
Amazon Web Services (AWS) offers an intuitively easy User Interface, flexibility, affordability along with more features. But this isn’t enough to prevent its customer to use the competitor Microsoft Azure (or even Google Cloud) as a secondary cloud provider (as backup). This circumstance allows customers to migrate completely to AWS rivals.
Amazon is busy building economies of scope as a competitive advantage like its acquisition of Medical One, a telecare company, instead of creating or strengthening its cloud ecosystem.
In the long run, we believe the market share of AWS could be slightly eroded gradually by more intense competition due to a lack of switching costs. We think Amazon should take care of this issue seriously, especially when the cloud is its most prolific segment.
Here is the transcript (edited – smoothed – filtered) version of the discussion about Tesla revenue analysis in our small-hidden group. As usual, our answer always tries to give insight beyond the number that is written in the financial report.
The best timing to buy Amazon stock is when Jeff Bezos works in his garage(1). We are going to evaluate this investing strategy by answering the question of when to buy and sell. In that process, we incorporate the business life cycle as a guide.
Amazon is out of big ten largest market cap global 2014
Since 2012, there are 3 acquisitions that attracts our attention: Adobe acquired Behance. And Microsoft acquired LinkedIn and GitHub. It is interesting to note that those three are like a community rather than a business. Why do businesses focus on community? To access more people or clients? We believe the answer is more than that.
2021 is about recovery. Not only for the stock market but also for mankind. It is when vaccines get global and humans fight coronavirus back. For years, this is the best and maybe the happiest year for us. To see how people survive against the worst. But we won’t discuss it. November 2021 investing insight is a collection of our brainstorming with regard to market and investing. We make it into one article since it is too short to launch in one long post, but it is too precious to hide.